Haidoub SC vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
13º
4º
25
14º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 66 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 62 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
80% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
51% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haidoub SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HEN
2 - 1
ALA
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALR
2 - 1
HEN
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
HAW
1 - 0
HEN
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 0
AFA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
HEN
1 - 0
ALA
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AAS
1 - 0
TUT
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AAS
0 - 0
ASH
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AAS
0 - 2
ALH
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
AAS
1 - 1
POR
35%
25%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
AAS
1 - 1
HAY
36%
29%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |