Hagen Ahrensburg vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
66.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LUB
0 - 1
HAG
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 1
HEI
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 1
HAG
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 3
SCH
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
EIC
2 - 0
HAG
78%
13%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
HOL
12%
19%
69%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 2
DOR
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 0
EIC
68%
17%
14%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 0
ALT
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 7
HOL
9%
18%
73%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | -1 |