Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 8-1
Häcken vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HÄC
2 - 0
VAR
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HÄC
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 3
KLA
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 1
ELF
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
KLA
0 - 0
HÄC
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
HLI
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 3
HÄC
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 0
ZAL
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
ZAL
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 2
PAN
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |