UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 5-1
Häcken vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
AIK
1 - 2
HÄC
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
HÄC
40%
25%
36%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
HÄC
0 - 1
DJU
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HÄC
3 - 0
MJÄ
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
HÄC
14%
21%
66%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
TNS
11%
16%
73%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
TNS
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
TNS
16%
19%
65%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 4
TNS
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TNS
6 - 0
BAL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |