Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 6-2
Häcken vs Käerjéng 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
HÄC
6 - 0
MJÄ
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
KAE
1 - 1
HÄC
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
DJU
1 - 0
HÄC
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2011 |
HÄC
3 - 1
HAL
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 4
HÄC
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Käerjéng 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
KAE
1 - 1
HÄC
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
KAE
1 - 0
LXC
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CSP
1 - 0
KAE
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
KAE
6 - 1
ETZ
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
0 - 0
KAE
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |