Q. Europa League Second Round Final
First leg 0-1
Häcken vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
AND
1 - 0
HÄC
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
HAL
0 - 0
HÄC
21%
24%
56%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
HÄC
2 - 2
TNV
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
HÄC
4 - 1
HAL
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
TNV
0 - 1
HÄC
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
AND
1 - 0
HÄC
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
RAK
2 - 2
AND
28%
26%
47%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
0 - 5
AND
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
AND
1 - 0
ARI
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
AND
2 - 2
AEK
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |