Gyeongju HNP vs Paju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
DAE
2 - 0
GYE
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DAE
2 - 1
GYE
30%
27%
42%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GYE
2 - 1
GIM
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HWA
2 - 0
GYE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GYE
0 - 0
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
YAN
3 - 1
PAJ
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
JCM
0 - 3
PAJ
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
POC
3 - 0
PAJ
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PAJ
0 - 0
CHU
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SIH
3 - 0
PAJ
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |