Korea National League Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Gyeongju HNP vs Daejeon Korail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 3
GYE
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
GYE
2 - 0
CHA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 0
MOK
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
YON
0 - 2
GYE
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 2
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Daejeon Korail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
DAE
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
DAE
5 - 2
CHE
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
MOK
1 - 1
DAE
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
DAE
1 - 2
ULS
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
YON
3 - 3
DAE
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |