Korea National League Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Gyeongju HNP vs Cheonan City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 2
GYE
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
GYE
4 - 1
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
GIM
1 - 1
GYE
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
GYE
1 - 5
GAN
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
DAE
2 - 1
GYE
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cheonan City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 2
GYE
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
GIM
0 - 1
CHE
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 1
DAE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 0
BUS
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHE
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |