Korea National League Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gyeongju HNP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 0
MOK
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
YON
0 - 2
GYE
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 2
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 1
GAN
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
GYE
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Changwon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
ULS
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 1
CHA
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
GYE
1 - 2
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
BUS
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MOK
0 - 2
CHA
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |