K4 League Final
Global 2-1
Gyeongju Citizen vs Icheon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gyeongju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ICH
0 - 0
GYE
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
POC
3 - 0
GYE
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GYE
1 - 0
YAN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
JEO
1 - 4
GYE
17%
23%
59%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GYE
6 - 3
JCM
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Icheon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ICH
0 - 0
GYE
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
POC
1 - 2
ICH
55%
21%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ICH
1 - 1
GIM
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HWA
3 - 2
ICH
26%
24%
51%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 2
ICH
32%
24%
44%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |