Gwynfi United vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwynfi United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
GWY
0 - 2
LLW
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
TON
7 - 1
GWY
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
GOY
8 - 3
GWY
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
ATG
1 - 0
GWY
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
GWY
0 - 5
ERA
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
TAF
2 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
NFC
1 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
TON
2 - 0
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLW
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |