Gwangju FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
10º
6º
36
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 65 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 53 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 50 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 42 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
12º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
3.5% | 24.5% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
5% | 24% |
|
Mid-table
|
77% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
ULS
3 - 0
GWA
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ALH
7 - 0
GWA
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 2
GWA
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
GWA
2 - 0
GYE
56%
22%
21%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
GAN
1 - 0
GWA
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
POH
1 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
ULS
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 2
DCI
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
SUW
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SUW
3 - 2
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |