Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
5º
5º
48
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
INC
1 - 0
GWA
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
GWA
3 - 1
JOH
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 1
DAE
43%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GWA
3 - 1
FCS
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
KAW
0 - 1
GWA
67%
18%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DCI
1 - 0
DAE
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
JEO
0 - 2
DCI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
JEJ
2 - 1
DCI
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 1
ULS
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 0
JEO
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |