Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
7º
35
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
JEJ
1 - 3
GWA
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GWA
1 - 2
SUW
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JEO
2 - 1
GWA
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
GWA
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
GWA
2 - 3
INC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DCI
3 - 1
FCS
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
DAE
0 - 0
DCI
37%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
JCI
0 - 2
DCI
13%
19%
68%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SUW
1 - 0
DCI
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |