Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
9º
3º
45
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gwangju FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SUW
0 - 1
GWA
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
GWA
1 - 1
DAE
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
JEJ
0 - 0
GWA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
GAN
1 - 1
GWA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GWA
0 - 1
ULS
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Daejeon Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DCI
1 - 0
DAE
38%
26%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
INC
2 - 0
DCI
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
DCI
2 - 2
JEO
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
DCI
2 - 2
SUW
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
0 - 0
DCI
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |