Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/16
Global 5-1
Gutiérrez vs Deportivo la Dormida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gutiérrez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GUT
2 - 1
AME
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
GUT
18%
23%
58%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GUT
1 - 0
DRV
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
GUT
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUT
4 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo la Dormida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SSC
1 - 2
DDM
77%
14%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UVF
1 - 4
DDM
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DDM
1 - 1
LRV
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DDM
1 - 0
SSC
11%
15%
74%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DDM
1 - 0
UVF
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |