Gute vs Värmdö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
KBK
0 - 2
GUT
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUT
1 - 2
VAR
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RYN
6 - 0
GUT
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ESF
0 - 4
GUT
22%
22%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
GUT
3 - 1
ESF
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Värmdö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
3 - 0
KAR
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
NYK
4 - 2
VAR
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 3
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
KON
2 - 6
VAR
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
KON
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |