Gurupi vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
GUR
1 - 1
INT
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
INT
2 - 0
GUR
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
GUR
2 - 1
INT
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUR
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 0
GUR
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 5
TOC
57%
23%
20%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TOC
3 - 2
TOC
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
TOC
5 - 1
GUA
55%
23%
23%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
TOC
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
INT
0 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |