Gurupi vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 2
GUR
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GUR
3 - 2
TOC
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
GUR
1 - 1
CEC
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 6
GUR
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
GUR
4 - 1
GUA
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
TOC
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 1
CEC
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
INT
2 - 2
TOC
68%
18%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 5
TOC
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 4
TOC
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |