Gurupi vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUR
3 - 1
TOC
57%
22%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 2
GUR
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
1 - 3
GUR
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUR
5 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GUR
3 - 0
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 0
PAR
33%
24%
42%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
3 - 1
TOC
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 3
INT
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 2
PAL
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
4 - 0
TOC
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |