Gurupi vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
GUR
2 - 1
AAA
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
IPO
1 - 2
GUR
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 2
GUR
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
GUR
1 - 0
INT
67%
19%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
PAL
3 - 2
GUR
54%
23%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 2
TOC
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 0
ARA
30%
25%
46%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 1
TOC
63%
20%
18%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TUB
2 - 1
TOC
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
TOC
3 - 1
KEC
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |