Tocantinense Final
Global 0-1
Gurupi vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 0
GUR
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GUR
1 - 1
PAL
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
PAL
0 - 0
GUR
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
GUR
5 - 2
KEC
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
TOC
2 - 3
GUR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 0
GUR
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
JEC
1 - 2
TOC
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
TOC
1 - 0
JEC
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
AAA
0 - 0
TOC
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
TOC
2 - 3
GUR
40%
25%
35%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |