Gurupi vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
73.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
GUR
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 3
GUR
62%
22%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GUR
2 - 3
INT
29%
27%
45%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
TMI
1 - 3
GUR
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
GUR
1 - 3
PAL
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TOC
2 - 0
INT
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
2 - 0
TOC
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RDA
0 - 4
TOC
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
TOC
66%
23%
11%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 3
SAO
18%
29%
53%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |