Tocantinense Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Gurupi vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
GUR
2 - 0
PAL
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
GUR
1 - 1
ARA
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
INT
2 - 2
GUR
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
GUR
2 - 1
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
TOC
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
TOC
1 - 0
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 0
TOC
34%
25%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
TOC
2 - 1
TOC
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |