Gurupi vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
GUR
4 - 1
CEC
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 0
GUR
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 3
GUR
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GUR
1 - 0
TOC
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
GUR
2 - 1
PLA
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOC
3 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEC
2 - 6
TOC
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
TOC
58%
22%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TOC
1 - 0
GUA
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TOC
3 - 1
ARA
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |