Gurupi vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 2
GUR
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GUR
5 - 1
PAL
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
GUR
4 - 0
TUB
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 1
GUR
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ARA
4 - 2
GUR
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
TOC
1 - 3
PAL
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
TOC
1 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
TUB
1 - 1
TOC
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TUB
1 - 1
TOC
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
TOC
3 - 0
IPO
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |