Gurupi vs AA Alvorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 1
GUR
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GUR
2 - 2
PAL
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
GUR
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
GUR
3 - 1
INT
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
GUR
4 - 0
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
AA Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2019 |
FJE
5 - 1
AAA
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
AAA
2 - 1
INT
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
AAA
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 2
PAL
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
INT
1 - 2
AAA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |