Gurten vs Wiener Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
81%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
GUR
1 - 2
GRU
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
NEU
1 - 3
GUR
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
GUR
3 - 0
SVF
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2014 |
SIE
0 - 1
GUR
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUR
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wiener Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
WIE
1 - 3
MTA
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2014 |
WIE
5 - 2
AWM
30%
26%
43%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
STR
1 - 2
WIE
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WIE
1 - 3
GRO
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WIN
3 - 1
WIE
44%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |