Gurten vs Weiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
9º
2º
46
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
DLB
2 - 2
GUR
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
GUR
1 - 1
TRE
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
GUR
0 - 1
VOC
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
GUR
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
4 - 0
GUR
23%
25%
52%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Weiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
WEI
3 - 0
SVW
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LBN
4 - 2
WEI
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
OED
5 - 1
WEI
39%
23%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
WEI
4 - 0
ANN
64%
18%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
WEI
0 - 5
WAC
57%
20%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |