Gurten vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
GDF
0 - 4
GUR
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GUR
0 - 1
HAR
5%
11%
85%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GUR
4 - 0
WEL
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
GUR
5 - 1
WAC
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ANN
3 - 2
GUR
43%
24%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
GDF
0 - 6
STU
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NEU
1 - 0
STU
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
STU
3 - 2
WEL
88%
9%
3%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ANN
1 - 1
STU
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
STU
2 - 2
WAC
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |