Gurten vs Sturm Graz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
STF
1 - 0
GUR
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GUR
0 - 2
SVW
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SVL
2 - 0
GUR
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GUR
2 - 2
KAL
23%
22%
56%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
FCB
0 - 1
GUR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
VOR
2 - 1
STU
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
STU
3 - 3
ALL
55%
22%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
KLA
2 - 2
STU
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
STU
2 - 1
WOL
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
STF
0 - 2
STU
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |