Gurrea vs Peña Fragatina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AIN
0 - 1
GUR
4%
10%
86%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUR
2 - 1
SIE
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EST
1 - 3
GUR
11%
17%
72%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GUR
3 - 1
BEL
86%
10%
5%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GUR
2 - 0
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Fragatina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PFR
6 - 0
ABI
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
HUE
1 - 1
PFR
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ASJ
1 - 0
PFR
33%
23%
44%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PFR
4 - 1
SES
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
AIN
0 - 2
PFR
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |