Gurrea vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
CFV
0 - 2
GUR
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GUR
1 - 0
CDA
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ADT
0 - 1
GUR
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GUR
5 - 1
SAD
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
GUR
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 1
CFJ
53%
21%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ZUE
1 - 0
UDM
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
UDM
30%
23%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UDM
5 - 1
CFV
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 0
UDM
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |