Gurrea vs Almudevar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gurrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GUR
2 - 0
MON
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
AAR
2 - 4
GUR
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GUR
4 - 2
SJO
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POS
1 - 3
GUR
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GUR
6 - 1
AGU
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Almudevar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 0
AAR
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SJO
1 - 0
ALM
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 4
POS
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AGU
0 - 3
ALM
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
4 - 2
SOD
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |