Gungahlin vs O'Connor Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
6º
3º
51
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
COO
1 - 2
GUN
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GUN
1 - 3
CAN
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
GUN
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TUG
1 - 3
GUN
10%
16%
74%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
GUN
2 - 0
WWF
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
O'Connor Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
OKF
44%
22%
35%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TUG
0 - 2
OKF
9%
14%
77%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 2
OKF
43%
21%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
OKF
2 - 2
CAN
36%
21%
43%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
COO
1 - 4
OKF
61%
18%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |