Gungahlin vs Monaro Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gungahlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
WOD
2 - 5
GUN
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GUN
2 - 1
COE
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GUN
2 - 2
BEL
16%
17%
67%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
GUN
1 - 0
TUG
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
COO
4 - 1
GUN
74%
14%
11%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Monaro Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
TUG
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
COO
3 - 1
MON
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
MON
1 - 4
CAN
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BEL
3 - 0
MON
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
WOD
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |