Gullegem vs Oudenaarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
15º
14º
49
3º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
72.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
91% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gullegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GUL
5 - 0
GEN
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
WES
2 - 1
GUL
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GUL
1 - 3
RCL
54%
22%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ROD
3 - 2
GUL
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GUL
3 - 4
TOR
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oudenaarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 3
RCL
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 3
OUD
47%
23%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OUD
1 - 3
ROD
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 2
OUD
51%
22%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OUD
2 - 0
WES
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |