Gullegem vs Westerlo 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+228%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
15º
14º
33
2º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
78.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
83% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
72.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63.5% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
91% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 27.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 72.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
63.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gullegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
5 - 4
GUL
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GUL
1 - 4
OUD
44%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
GUL
5 - 0
GEN
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
WES
2 - 1
GUL
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GUL
1 - 3
RCL
54%
22%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Westerlo 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
ZEL
16%
21%
63%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 2
KVC
80%
13%
8%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KVC
1 - 1
TOR
16%
21%
64%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DIK
3 - 2
KVC
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KVC
0 - 1
APP
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |