Gulbene 2005 vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gulbene 2005
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
LIE
6 - 2
GUL
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GUL
2 - 3
FKJ
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCJ
2 - 0
GUL
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUL
3 - 0
JFK
76%
15%
10%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GUL
4 - 1
FKD
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 1
FCD
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 0
FCS
24%
25%
52%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
FKD
0 - 3
FCD
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 3
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 1
FKJ
47%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |