Guiseley vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 3
GUI
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
GUI
20%
22%
59%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
7 - 0
WHI
73%
16%
11%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 2
BAR
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 3
GUI
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 1
WOR
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 3
ALT
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
HIN
0 - 5
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 2
BRA
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 2
WOR
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |