Guiseley vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
ILK
0 - 1
GUI
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 3
BRA
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
GAT
0 - 2
GUI
44%
24%
31%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
WAK
1 - 3
GUI
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 2
NOR
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
RUN
2 - 4
NOR
25%
24%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 0
RUN
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
BLY
0 - 0
RUN
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
RUN
2 - 2
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
RUN
1 - 3
BUR
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |