Guiseley vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 0
GUI
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
LIN
26%
23%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
0 - 0
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
SOU
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
GUI
6 - 1
YOR
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 2
GAT
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
GAT
2 - 3
ALF
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 2
GAT
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GAT
4 - 2
DOV
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 1
GAT
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |