Guiseley vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 4
ALD
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
GUI
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 0
KID
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 0
ALT
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 0
GUI
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 1
KID
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
GAT
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 1
BOR
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 4
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ALD
1 - 2
GAT
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |