Guiseley vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LEE
0 - 2
GUI
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GUI
2 - 3
PRE
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
GUI
1 - 2
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
RAD
1 - 4
GUI
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
GAT
2 - 1
GUI
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
GAT
1 - 1
LIN
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GAT
1 - 3
HYD
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
GAT
1 - 1
FRI
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
3 - 2
GAT
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
GAT
2 - 1
GUI
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |