Guiseley vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VAU
0 - 5
GUI
17%
21%
63%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
GUI
6 - 1
AFC
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
OXF
3 - 3
GUI
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
STA
2 - 3
GUI
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
NOR
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GAI
1 - 2
HED
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
OXF
1 - 0
GAI
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TOW
1 - 1
GAI
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 0
GAI
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 0
GAI
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |