Guipavas vs Montagnarde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guipavas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
MON
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 2
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LAT
0 - 0
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
PON
43%
25%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
USF
1 - 0
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
DIN
3 - 2
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |