Guingamp vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
REI
0 - 0
GUI
25%
28%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
STL
0 - 1
GUI
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
GUI
0 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 1
GUI
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
GUI
1 - 1
LHA
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
VAL
2 - 1
STL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
REI
0 - 0
VAL
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
VAL
3 - 0
CLE
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
VAL
0 - 0
AMI
43%
29%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
LUS
1 - 1
VAL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |