Guingamp vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
AMI
1 - 0
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
GUI
0 - 1
AMI
59%
25%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
GUI
2 - 0
NIC
61%
24%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
VAL
2 - 0
GUI
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
GUI
1 - 0
ASS
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
RED
2 - 2
TRO
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
RED
1 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
ASB
1 - 1
RED
43%
26%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
RED
1 - 0
LMU
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1998 |
NIO
3 - 1
RED
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |