Guingamp vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
GUI
3 - 2
CAN
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
STL
4 - 0
GUI
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
PON
0 - 1
GUI
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
RED
2 - 1
GUI
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
FCM
1 - 1
GUI
47%
22%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1994 |
RED
1 - 1
STL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1994 |
DUN
1 - 1
RED
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
ESV
0 - 4
RED
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1994 |
RED
1 - 0
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1993 |
STA
2 - 1
RED
49%
26%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |